Wind SeiryuuTier 2
at 20251018 貓腳印-桃園店 DTR 店冠賽
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Suited | 8.7% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 70.1% | +15.0 |
| Water Aetherwing | 8.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.3% | -1.7 |
| Wind Allies | 8.7% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 30.6% | -14.5 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 6.5% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 31.9% | -13.5 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.4% | +11.8 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 6.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.8% | +4.6 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 6.5% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 30.6% | -14.5 |
| Fire Aggro | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 4.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.2% | -18.9 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 4.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.7% | +18.7 |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 4.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.8% | +7.7 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 4.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.4% | +0.7 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.9% | +0.9 |
| Fire Arcane | 2.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.7% | +17.1 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 2.2% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 67.6% | +16.9 |
| Horse and Taxes | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Diana | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 4 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 20 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 20 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleansing Reunion | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Reclaim | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Aesan Protector | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Longtail Grovesward | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Cheshire Cat, Impish Grin | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Sunblessed Gazelle | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tempest Downfall | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Winds of Destiny | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Smoke Bombs | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Noble Dissolution | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Backup Charger | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Windmill Engineer | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Inert Sword | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| The Looking Glass | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Incapacitate | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Brisk Windtrotter | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 |